
{"id":525,"date":"2013-08-13T01:22:50","date_gmt":"2013-08-13T00:22:50","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/outofthedarkness.info\/blog\/?p=525"},"modified":"2013-08-13T01:26:44","modified_gmt":"2013-08-13T00:26:44","slug":"there-are-three-kinds-of-lies-lies-damned-lies-and-statistics","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/outofthedarkness.info\/blog\/there-are-three-kinds-of-lies-lies-damned-lies-and-statistics\/","title":{"rendered":"&#8216;There are three kinds of lies: lies, damned lies, and statistics.&#8217;"},"content":{"rendered":"<div id=\"attachment_528\" style=\"width: 315px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><img aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-528\" loading=\"lazy\" class=\"size-full wp-image-528 \" alt=\"\" src=\"http:\/\/outofthedarkness.info\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/08\/Rabbit-Giant-Carrot-Fotolia_11492821_XS.jpg\" width=\"305\" height=\"394\" srcset=\"https:\/\/outofthedarkness.info\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/08\/Rabbit-Giant-Carrot-Fotolia_11492821_XS.jpg 305w, https:\/\/outofthedarkness.info\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/08\/Rabbit-Giant-Carrot-Fotolia_11492821_XS-232x300.jpg 232w, https:\/\/outofthedarkness.info\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/08\/Rabbit-Giant-Carrot-Fotolia_11492821_XS-116x150.jpg 116w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 305px) 100vw, 305px\" \/><p id=\"caption-attachment-528\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">Another statistical lie: size doesn&#8217;t matter.<\/p><\/div>\n<p>Twain, Disraeli, Anon,\u00a0take your pick, but the quote is true nonetheless. I hereby state, for the record, that I have committed that most heinous of crimes and told infernal untruths about statistics. Can my backers ever forgive me? Will readers ever trust an author who can&#8217;t keep his numbers straight?<!--more--><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\">\u221e<\/p>\n<p>If you can stretch your imagination back into the mists of ancient history and picture a scene from the distant past:<\/p>\n<p>It is late 2012. A nervous, but bushy-eyed writer sticks his head from his burrow, his nose twitching as he sniffs the wind. Deciding it was probably the cabbage leaves he had for breakfast, he waggles his fluffy little tail in dismissal and scans the horizon. There! He spies it: a Braben is holding the largest carrot he has ever seen. Its orange-ness glows in the mid-morning sunlight. Its verdant top-leaves rustle provocatively in the bracing breeze. However, the Braben does not shiver, but stands resolute, protected from the elements by his fluffy woollen pelt.<\/p>\n<p>He holds the carrot higher, inviting, tempting those with overactive creative libidos to come out of hiding and partake of the wonderful editable. The writer cannot resist. He darts from bush to tussock, pausing at each to scan the sky for the threatening silhouette of predatory wings. All seems clear. So, lulled, he approaches the Braben on all fours. The Braben is magnanimous in his speech:<\/p>\n<p>&#8216;Come closer, Little Jumper, for I am a lover of your larger knitted kin. What would you wish of me?&#8217;<\/p>\n<p>The writer trembles, a shiver rippling from nose to tail. His small herbivorous mind struggles to put the pictures in his head into the sound-meanings of the Tall One. Embarrassed, his tongue struggles to force itself into unfamiliar contorted shapes that are blocked by the teeth of his kind.<\/p>\n<p>&#8216;Oh, Braben. Day Feed? I&#8217;ll eat? Dangerous?&#8217; He points at the massive editable, hoping to make his meaning clear.<\/p>\n<p>&#8216;No, not dangerous Little Jumper, but it will be a challenge, for it is a large editable for one so small.&#8217;<\/p>\n<p>&#8216;If all eat,&#8217; the writer gestures from the carrot&#8217;s top to base, &#8216;frond&#8230;&#8217;ere?&#8217;<\/p>\n<p>&#8216;Then, like me,&#8217; said the Braben, &#8216;you will become a maker of raspberries, *sigh*.&#8217;<\/p>\n<div id=\"attachment_531\" style=\"width: 356px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><a href=\"http:\/\/outofthedarkness.info\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/08\/Space-Carrot-and-Rabbit-Fotolia_35729714_XS.jpg\"><img aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-531\" loading=\"lazy\" class=\"size-full wp-image-531\" alt=\"\" src=\"http:\/\/outofthedarkness.info\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/08\/Space-Carrot-and-Rabbit-Fotolia_35729714_XS.jpg\" width=\"346\" height=\"346\" srcset=\"https:\/\/outofthedarkness.info\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/08\/Space-Carrot-and-Rabbit-Fotolia_35729714_XS.jpg 346w, https:\/\/outofthedarkness.info\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/08\/Space-Carrot-and-Rabbit-Fotolia_35729714_XS-150x150.jpg 150w, https:\/\/outofthedarkness.info\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/08\/Space-Carrot-and-Rabbit-Fotolia_35729714_XS-300x300.jpg 300w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 346px) 100vw, 346px\" \/><\/a><p id=\"caption-attachment-531\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">A writer must be willing to suffer for his carrart.<\/p><\/div>\n<p>If such a tale can have a moral, it is this: don&#8217;t bite off more than you can chew. When I first set up the Kickstarter, that was my frame of mind. Don&#8217;t promise too much. I thought I could push out around 30,000 words without too much difficulty in the time available. So that is what I promised. It turned out to be my first lie.<\/p>\n<p>As I wrote, the plot got increasingly involved, but I was making reasonable progress. By June, 2013, I was estimating, and promising via a new little widget, around 80,000 words. I must now solemnly confess that I will break that promise. I lied. Again. There is no way that I am going to be able to tie up all the loose ends in the plot and put together my best attempt at a riveting climax in the next 7,500 words. And so statistics make a liar of me a second time.<\/p>\n<p>What the final word count of <em>Out of the Darkness<\/em> will be, I can only guess\u2014maybe around 90 to 110,000 words. Hopefully my backers will enjoy digesting their larger meal. 300% isn&#8217;t a bad increase on their investment. But, with an epic conclusion to find and a lot of editing to be done, if it&#8217;s going to get any longer gibbering will definitely start my nose twitching, and my little fluffy tail will be bobbing in a most alarming manner as I run for the safety of my burrow.<\/p>\n<p>I hope you can all forgive me for my untruths. When I wake in the dark of the night, cold sweat sticking me to my dried-leaf bedding, I only hope I am able to forgive myself. This is turning out to be one ****ing huge editable to digest.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\">\u221e<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\"><em>Image Credits:\u00a0<\/em><i>&#8216;<a href=\"http:\/\/en.fotolia.com\/id\/11492821\">Small bunny and a huge carrot<\/a>&#8216;\u00a0\u00a9 Ekaterina Voinova &#8211; Fotolia.com;\u00a0<\/i><em>&#8216;<a href=\"http:\/\/en.fotolia.com\/id\/35729714\">Carrot takes revenge on a white rabbit<\/a>&#8216;<\/em>\u00a0\u00a9 <em>Sykwong &#8211; Fotolia.com.<\/em><\/p>\n<div class=\"sharedaddy sd-sharing-enabled\"><div class=\"robots-nocontent sd-block sd-social sd-social-icon-text sd-sharing\"><h3 class=\"sd-title\">Just Click to<\/h3><div class=\"sd-content\"><ul><li class=\"share-twitter\"><a rel=\"nofollow noopener noreferrer\" data-shared=\"sharing-twitter-525\" class=\"share-twitter sd-button share-icon\" href=\"https:\/\/outofthedarkness.info\/blog\/there-are-three-kinds-of-lies-lies-damned-lies-and-statistics\/?share=twitter\" target=\"_blank\" title=\"Click to share on Twitter\"><span>Twitter<\/span><\/a><\/li><li class=\"share-facebook\"><a rel=\"nofollow noopener noreferrer\" data-shared=\"sharing-facebook-525\" class=\"share-facebook sd-button share-icon\" href=\"https:\/\/outofthedarkness.info\/blog\/there-are-three-kinds-of-lies-lies-damned-lies-and-statistics\/?share=facebook\" target=\"_blank\" title=\"Click to share on Facebook\"><span>Facebook<\/span><\/a><\/li><li><a href=\"#\" class=\"sharing-anchor sd-button share-more\"><span>More<\/span><\/a><\/li><li class=\"share-end\"><\/li><\/ul><div class=\"sharing-hidden\"><div class=\"inner\" style=\"display: none;\"><ul><li class=\"share-pinterest\"><a rel=\"nofollow noopener noreferrer\" data-shared=\"sharing-pinterest-525\" class=\"share-pinterest sd-button share-icon\" href=\"https:\/\/outofthedarkness.info\/blog\/there-are-three-kinds-of-lies-lies-damned-lies-and-statistics\/?share=pinterest\" target=\"_blank\" title=\"Click to share on Pinterest\"><span>Pinterest<\/span><\/a><\/li><li class=\"share-tumblr\"><a rel=\"nofollow noopener noreferrer\" data-shared=\"\" class=\"share-tumblr sd-button share-icon\" href=\"https:\/\/outofthedarkness.info\/blog\/there-are-three-kinds-of-lies-lies-damned-lies-and-statistics\/?share=tumblr\" target=\"_blank\" title=\"Click to share on Tumblr\"><span>Tumblr<\/span><\/a><\/li><li class=\"share-end\"><\/li><li class=\"share-reddit\"><a rel=\"nofollow noopener noreferrer\" data-shared=\"\" class=\"share-reddit sd-button share-icon\" href=\"https:\/\/outofthedarkness.info\/blog\/there-are-three-kinds-of-lies-lies-damned-lies-and-statistics\/?share=reddit\" target=\"_blank\" title=\"Click to share on Reddit\"><span>Reddit<\/span><\/a><\/li><li class=\"share-linkedin\"><a rel=\"nofollow noopener noreferrer\" data-shared=\"sharing-linkedin-525\" class=\"share-linkedin sd-button share-icon\" href=\"https:\/\/outofthedarkness.info\/blog\/there-are-three-kinds-of-lies-lies-damned-lies-and-statistics\/?share=linkedin\" target=\"_blank\" title=\"Click to share on LinkedIn\"><span>LinkedIn<\/span><\/a><\/li><li class=\"share-end\"><\/li><li class=\"share-end\"><\/li><\/ul><\/div><\/div><\/div><\/div><\/div>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Twain, Disraeli, Anon,\u00a0take your pick, but the quote is true nonetheless. I hereby state, for the record, that I have committed that most heinous of crimes and told infernal untruths about statistics. Can my backers ever forgive me? Will readers ever trust an author who can&#8217;t keep his numbers straight?<\/p>\n<div class=\"sharedaddy sd-sharing-enabled\"><div class=\"robots-nocontent sd-block sd-social sd-social-icon-text sd-sharing\"><h3 class=\"sd-title\">Just Click to<\/h3><div class=\"sd-content\"><ul><li class=\"share-twitter\"><a rel=\"nofollow noopener noreferrer\" data-shared=\"sharing-twitter-525\" class=\"share-twitter sd-button share-icon\" href=\"https:\/\/outofthedarkness.info\/blog\/there-are-three-kinds-of-lies-lies-damned-lies-and-statistics\/?share=twitter\" target=\"_blank\" title=\"Click to share on Twitter\"><span>Twitter<\/span><\/a><\/li><li class=\"share-facebook\"><a rel=\"nofollow noopener noreferrer\" data-shared=\"sharing-facebook-525\" class=\"share-facebook sd-button share-icon\" href=\"https:\/\/outofthedarkness.info\/blog\/there-are-three-kinds-of-lies-lies-damned-lies-and-statistics\/?share=facebook\" target=\"_blank\" title=\"Click to share on Facebook\"><span>Facebook<\/span><\/a><\/li><li><a href=\"#\" class=\"sharing-anchor sd-button share-more\"><span>More<\/span><\/a><\/li><li class=\"share-end\"><\/li><\/ul><div class=\"sharing-hidden\"><div class=\"inner\" style=\"display: none;\"><ul><li class=\"share-pinterest\"><a rel=\"nofollow noopener noreferrer\" data-shared=\"sharing-pinterest-525\" class=\"share-pinterest sd-button share-icon\" href=\"https:\/\/outofthedarkness.info\/blog\/there-are-three-kinds-of-lies-lies-damned-lies-and-statistics\/?share=pinterest\" target=\"_blank\" title=\"Click to share on Pinterest\"><span>Pinterest<\/span><\/a><\/li><li class=\"share-tumblr\"><a rel=\"nofollow noopener noreferrer\" data-shared=\"\" class=\"share-tumblr sd-button share-icon\" href=\"https:\/\/outofthedarkness.info\/blog\/there-are-three-kinds-of-lies-lies-damned-lies-and-statistics\/?share=tumblr\" target=\"_blank\" title=\"Click to share on Tumblr\"><span>Tumblr<\/span><\/a><\/li><li class=\"share-end\"><\/li><li class=\"share-reddit\"><a rel=\"nofollow noopener noreferrer\" data-shared=\"\" class=\"share-reddit sd-button share-icon\" href=\"https:\/\/outofthedarkness.info\/blog\/there-are-three-kinds-of-lies-lies-damned-lies-and-statistics\/?share=reddit\" target=\"_blank\" title=\"Click to share on Reddit\"><span>Reddit<\/span><\/a><\/li><li class=\"share-linkedin\"><a rel=\"nofollow noopener noreferrer\" data-shared=\"sharing-linkedin-525\" class=\"share-linkedin sd-button share-icon\" href=\"https:\/\/outofthedarkness.info\/blog\/there-are-three-kinds-of-lies-lies-damned-lies-and-statistics\/?share=linkedin\" target=\"_blank\" title=\"Click to share on LinkedIn\"><span>LinkedIn<\/span><\/a><\/li><li class=\"share-end\"><\/li><li class=\"share-end\"><\/li><\/ul><\/div><\/div><\/div><\/div><\/div>","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"spay_email":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_is_tweetstorm":false},"categories":[3],"tags":[38,87,60,88,86],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"","jetpack_publicize_connections":[],"jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"jetpack_shortlink":"https:\/\/wp.me\/p30m2a-8t","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/outofthedarkness.info\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/525"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/outofthedarkness.info\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/outofthedarkness.info\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/outofthedarkness.info\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/outofthedarkness.info\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=525"}],"version-history":[{"count":12,"href":"https:\/\/outofthedarkness.info\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/525\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":539,"href":"https:\/\/outofthedarkness.info\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/525\/revisions\/539"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/outofthedarkness.info\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=525"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/outofthedarkness.info\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=525"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/outofthedarkness.info\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=525"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}